Home Metro The BIG STORY| INEC in the EYE of the STORM

The BIG STORY| INEC in the EYE of the STORM

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Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC)
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AI-generated faces, questionable identities and mounting allegations of inflated voter figures have plunged Nigeria’s electoral umpire into an embarrassing credibility crisis, raising uncomfortable questions about the integrity of the 2027 elections before a single ballot has been cast.

By Charles IKE-OKOH

FRI OCT 30 2026-theGBJournal| There is something profoundly unsettling about a country preparing for an election in which even the identities of some of its supposed voters have become a subject of controversy.

Nigeria is confronting precisely that predicament.

The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), the institution constitutionally entrusted with safeguarding the country’s democratic choices, has found itself defending a voters’ register increasingly questioned over its accuracy, integrity and the processes through which millions of names entered its database.

What began with the publication of a register containing approximately 103.4 million registered voters has developed into an uncomfortable national conversation about artificial intelligence, questionable photographs, duplicate identities, deceased persons and alleged irregularities in voter registration.

The questions are multiplying. The answers, so far, have done little to settle public anxiety.

The controversy acquired an extraordinary dimension when Nigerians examining the preliminary register discovered photographs suspected to have been generated by artificial intelligence. Some entries appeared to contain images that bore little resemblance to conventional identification photographs. Others raised questions about duplicate registrations and the continued appearance of deceased persons.

Screenshots circulated showing questionable entries associated with polling units in Edo State, particularly Ward 11 in Etsako West Local Government Area.

For an electoral institution whose credibility depends substantially on the accuracy of its records, the discovery was damaging.

INEC initially responded by describing the register as preliminary, insisting that the online publication was the same document displayed physically across registration areas between October 9 and 15.

It maintained that questionable records had already been identified and flagged for examination, with the final register scheduled for certification on December 15.

But the controversy refused to disappear.

On Friday, October 30, the commission’s Director of Information and Communication Technology, Dr Lawrence Bayode, appeared on Arise Television and offered an explanation that raised almost as many questions as it answered.

According to him, some registration officers had exploited their access to INEC’s registration system to introduce irregularities.

“We have registration officers on the field. And these registration officers, they have login details to log into the system,” he explained.

He acknowledged that some photographs were AI-generated while others resulted from poor registration procedures.

More revealing was his admission: “When the ABIS was run on the system, we saw these people. We know what they did. We know how they did it. But honestly, I don’t know why.”

It was a remarkable explanation from an institution that had previously announced the completion of its Automated Biometric Identification System (ABIS) cleanup.

If the system identified suspicious registrations, how did they survive the supposedly completed verification exercise? What safeguards existed to prevent compromised registration officers from introducing questionable identities? And what happens to the Permanent Voter Cards associated with these entries?

These are not peripheral technical questions. They go to the heart of electoral credibility.

INEC’s difficulties have also attracted attention from independent election-data analysts, including MundX Analytics, whose work has brought greater scrutiny to electoral data and polling-unit records.

Its wider election-monitoring work underscores the growing importance of independent verification.

However, allegations of systematic voter padding must be established through independently verifiable ward-level and registration data, rather than assumed from isolated discrepancies.

The distinction matters. An irregular photograph does not automatically establish a fraudulent registration, just as an unusual increase in voter numbers does not, by itself, prove manipulation.

But an electoral commission cannot expect citizens to make those distinctions in an atmosphere where explanations are incomplete and confidence is deteriorating.

The political consequences are already becoming apparent. Opposition parties and their supporters are demanding answers, questioning the credibility of the register and warning against any attempt to manipulate the 2027 elections.

The danger is that suspicions surrounding the register could become the foundation for rejecting an election even before voting begins.

Nigeria has been here before. Electoral controversies have repeatedly exposed the combustible relationship between political competition, institutional credibility and public trust. When citizens believe that the rules have been compromised before the contest begins, the temptation to reject the eventual outcome becomes considerably stronger.

This is particularly troubling against the background of an economy burdened by debt, widespread hardship, unemployment and declining living standards. For millions of Nigerians, elections represent one of the few constitutional opportunities to demand accountability and change.

To undermine confidence in that process is to deepen an already dangerous sense of political alienation.

INEC must therefore understand that publishing a register and explaining away its anomalies are not the same as establishing its credibility.

The commission has an opportunity to demonstrate that the controversy is correctable. But it must go beyond assurances and the convenient attribution of irregularities to individual registration officers.

It must publish the scale of the discrepancies discovered, identify the affected registration areas, explain how the security architecture failed, establish whether questionable identities received PVCs and demonstrate, through independently verifiable evidence, that the final register is clean.

There must also be consequences where deliberate misconduct is established.

The January 16, 2027 presidential election is approaching. The clock is no longer forgiving.

Ultimately, the danger facing INEC is larger than AI-generated photographs or questionable entries in a database. It is the possibility that Nigerians may arrive at the polling stations already convinced that the election has been compromised.

An election should be a contest over the future of a country, not a dispute over whether the people appearing on its voters’ register actually exist.

For an institution whose authority rests on public confidence, that is perhaps the most frightening place to be.

INEC is in the eye of the storm. Whether it emerges with its credibility intact will depend not on the strength of its explanations, but on the transparency and integrity of the answers it provides.

X-@theGBJournal|email:gbj@govbusinessjournal.com|govandbusinessj@gmail.com

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